Halifax Housing Market Outlook (Fall 2020)
The Halifax housing market has been experiencing a housing inventory shortage since before the pandemic took hold, with the lowest supply levels in the last 10 years. In mid-March, housing market activity came to a short halt in early spring due to lockdowns, however according to the RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report, the region started to see an uptick in real estate activity by mid-June. Homebuyers are expected to remain active going into fall, as confidence remain high in the Halifax housing market. The inventory shortage, coupled with increased demand, is expected to prompt a 10% increase in average Halifax housing prices are during the remainder of 2020.
Atlantic Real Estate Market Trends
Regions across the Atlantic region reporting low case counts of COVID-19, such as Halifax, Charlottetown and Saint John saw reduced market activity in March, however the decline was less pronounced than that experienced by some Ontario and Western Canada markets. Activity in Atlantic Canada was back to pre-COVID-19 levels by May 2020, and like many sellers’ markets in Canada, multiple offer scenarios continue to happen in these regions.
Canadian Housing Market Trends
Leading indicators from RE/MAX brokers and agents across Canada’s housing market point to a strong market for the remainder of 2020. According to the RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report, RE/MAX brokers suggest that the average residential sale price in Canada could increase by 4.6% during the remainder of the year. This is compared to the 3.7% increase that was predicted in late 2019.. The pandemic has prompted many Canadians to reassess their living situations. According to a survey conducted by Leger on behalf of RE/MAX Canada, 32% of Canadians no longer want to live in large urban centres, and instead would opt for rural or suburban communities. This trend is stronger among Canadians under the age of 55 than those in the 55+ age group. Not only are Canadians more motivated to leave cities, but changes in work and life dynamics have also shifted their needs and wants for their homes. According to the survey, 44% of Canadians would like a home with more space for personal amenities, such as a pool, balcony or a large yard.
Canadians equally split on their confidence in the housing market
Canadians are almost equally split in their confidence in Canada’s real estate market, with 39% as confident as they were prior to the pandemic, and 37% slightly less confident. When it comes to the prospect of a second wave of COVID-19, 56% of Canadians who are feeling confident in Canada’s real estate market are still likely to buy or sell. “The classically hot spring market that was pushed to the summer months due to the COVID-19 pandemic created a surprisingly strong market across Canada and across all market segments,” says Christopher Alexander, Executive Vice President and Regional Director, RE/MAX of Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Looking ahead, government financial aid programs may be coming to an end in September, which could potentially impact future activity; however, the pent-up demand and low inventory dynamic may keep prices steady and bolster activity for the remainder of 2020. Overall, we are very confident in the long-term durability of the market.” Additional highlights from the 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report Survey:
- 48% of Canadians would like to live closer to green spaces
- 48% of Canadians say it’s more important than ever to live in a community close to hospitals and clinics
- 33% of Canadians would like more square footage in their home and have realized they need more space
- 44% of Canadians want a home with more outdoor space and personal amenities (i.e. balcony, pool etc.)
About the 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report The 2020 RE/MAX Fall Market Outlook Report includes data and insights supplied by RE/MAX brokerages. RE/MAX brokers and agents are surveyed on market activity and local developments..
Seller’s market expected for 2020, prices to increase 4%
The Halifax housing market is expected to sit in seller’s territory in 2020, due to low inventory. RE/MAX is expecting a four-per-cent increase in sales prices next year.
The Halifax housing market favoured sellers in 2019, and these conditions are expected to continue in 2020. Housing affordability in the region continues to attract younger buyers in search of detached homes. Halifax remains an attractive market to foreign buyers and move-over buyers who are returning to the region from other parts of Canada for cultural amenities and affordable home prices.
First-time buyers and foreign buyers drove demand in 2019, with the most in-demand neighbourhoods for sales including north-end Halifax, Clayton Park, Bedford and parts of Dartmouth.
Moving into 2020, continued population growth in the region is expected to further boost the Halifax housing market.
From a national perspective, RE/MAX anticipates a leveling out of the highs and lows that characterized the Canadian housing market in 2019, particularly in Vancouver and Toronto, as we move into 2020. Healthy price increases are expected, with an estimated 3.7-per-cent increase in the average national residential sales price, as reported in the RE/MAX 2020 Housing Market Outlook Report.
In Atlantic Canada, the Halifax and Saint John housing markets have experienced solid price appreciation of six and five per cent, respectively. Affordability continues to attract many buyers in the region, most of whom are buying single-detached homes. At the same time, the region’s condominium market is being driven by retirees. Conversely, the market in St. John’s is expected to recover in 2020, with increased consumer confidence expected to stabilize the market. However, the city’s aging population and high rate of outbound migration is expected to have an impact on housing market activity at some point.
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